Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 12.753797 14.215581 15.793573 17.626338 19.699862 21.976886 24.672015
2025-07-27 10.827304 12.880321 15.262779 18.243567 21.889439 26.224143 31.798640
2025-08-03 9.135126 11.485204 14.386435 18.258500 23.331430 29.807079 38.788179
2025-08-10 7.793975 10.279685 13.518325 18.094427 24.469843 33.149848 46.055389
2025-08-17 6.735153 9.263276 12.717197 17.851725 25.412352 36.328941 53.638548
2025-08-24 5.924935 8.458545 12.070023 17.690990 26.397273 39.669241 62.020233
2025-08-31 5.301369 7.827577 11.569893 17.644695 27.504522 43.317130 71.508924
2025-09-07 4.900216 7.468334 11.413831 18.080622 29.399640 48.470045 84.431490
2025-09-14 4.441618 6.960103 10.955345 17.950776 30.315913 52.097350 95.329504
2025-09-21 4.002395 6.429667 10.392612 17.558477 30.698423 54.811388 105.002410
2025-09-28 3.668665 6.034000 10.002948 17.404261 31.464806 58.313754 116.870274
2025-10-05 3.505732 5.907617 10.053507 18.036710 33.775683 65.118918 136.968888
2025-10-12 3.338691 5.762634 10.065604 18.620829 36.128491 72.511140 160.281812
2025-10-19 3.142465 5.545160 9.922532 18.889062 37.891603 79.003532 183.140892
2025-10-26 2.905217 5.228334 9.559903 18.673361 38.607639 83.346443 201.869866
2025-11-02 2.683296 4.918536 9.177724 18.367883 39.081617 87.226511 220.407607
2025-11-09 2.482512 4.630140 8.807360 18.039682 39.454037 90.935304 239.456904
2025-11-16 2.314344 4.389915 8.508665 17.828404 40.065094 95.341847 261.658271
2025-11-23 2.175572 4.195574 8.283861 17.752371 40.987853 100.714151 288.208480
2025-11-30 2.094157 4.110348 8.277668 18.173027 43.203249 109.925465 329.353988
2025-12-07 1.971162 3.927458 8.044313 18.031476 43.963653 115.309436 359.711453
2025-12-14 1.838134 3.711974 7.719435 17.630729 43.983116 118.602705 383.977458
2025-12-21 1.735258 3.552612 7.503907 17.471916 44.630957 123.866133 416.912922